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how are you investing in this environment? >> we think it's important not to be taking too little risk, so certainly making sure that you have adequate exposure, especially to things like the emerging markets where the fundamentals of growth are a lot better than they are in the united states is clearly important, but most of all making sure that you're taking in risk in line with what you can afford to take and not taking too much and not too little but really controlling it throughout the year. >> steve. is it possible that the beige report that we get today is sort of ancient history because things are becoming clearer now as far as the fiscal policy of the united states. we still have the debt crisis coming in a couple of months here to be resolved, but, you know, things do seem to be getting better. we've had some companies say that the housing market is for real right now, for example. >> yeah. i guess there's two different ways to think about it, bill. ancient history or crystal ball telling our future. i mean, when i r
how are you investing in this environment? >> we think it's important not to be taking too little risk, so certainly making sure that you have adequate exposure, especially to things like the emerging markets where the fundamentals of growth are a lot better than they are in the united states is clearly important, but most of all making sure that you're taking in risk in line with what you can afford to take and not taking too much and not too little but really controlling it throughout...
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Jan 16, 2013
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in the near term, overall performance of the pc client group is key to understanding the overall environment. but for the stock, the company's full year guidance, which we expect to hear, probably matters more so i'll be watching that. longer term, analysts need better evidence that intel really can gain ground in tablets and smartphones where so far, chip giant just hasn't made a dent. back to you. >> thank you for that, jon fortt. the other issue is inventory. that's been rising as a percent of revenues since the third quarter of last year. and that is -- they have to scale back production in order to cut back the inventory. >> they are so poorly positioned in the tablet space, tabletting are destroying laptops right now. if you talk about emerging market growth, it's again, back to that apple story. it's as a much lower gross margin. intel guided gross margins to 57%. that's the lowest since q-3 2009. i don't think it's a good press. it just rallied 10% off the november lows, but it's kind of in no man's land. you really need to get a sense how they are positioned. don't forget, they are
in the near term, overall performance of the pc client group is key to understanding the overall environment. but for the stock, the company's full year guidance, which we expect to hear, probably matters more so i'll be watching that. longer term, analysts need better evidence that intel really can gain ground in tablets and smartphones where so far, chip giant just hasn't made a dent. back to you. >> thank you for that, jon fortt. the other issue is inventory. that's been rising as a...
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Jan 19, 2013
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important stakeholders, followed probably by investors, then suppliers, larger communities and the environment. they're all important. they all need to be taken into consideration. but i think the real secret sauce to a successful conscious business is prioritizing customers and employees. >> tom: one thing you have to deal with when talking about prioritizing customers is retail prices. food prices specifically. you deal with these every day directly. food inflation is moderated certainly from the big year-over-year increases we saw in 2011. it's been volatile, though. so how do you deal with that for your stakeholders, for your customers? >> there's not-- honestly, there's not that much you can do about it because if your raw cost goes up, you sort of have to pass those on. and i mean, i always think people misunderstand inflation because it's really just the currency depreciating and working its way out through all the different sections. if the federal government increases the money supply faster than productivity you're going to see inflation. and that's what we're seeing in food right no
important stakeholders, followed probably by investors, then suppliers, larger communities and the environment. they're all important. they all need to be taken into consideration. but i think the real secret sauce to a successful conscious business is prioritizing customers and employees. >> tom: one thing you have to deal with when talking about prioritizing customers is retail prices. food prices specifically. you deal with these every day directly. food inflation is moderated...
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Jan 19, 2013
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most important stakeholders, followed probably by investors then suppliers, larger communities and the environment. they're all important. they all need to be taken into consideration. but i think the real secret sauce to a successful conscious business is prioritizing customers and employees. >> tom: one thing you have to deal with when talking about prioritizing customers is retail prices. food prices specifically. you deal with these every day directly. food inflation is moderated certainly from the big year-over-year increases we saw in 2011. it's been volatile though. so how do you deal with that for your stakeholders, for your customers? >> there's not-- honestly, there's not that much you can do about it because if your raw cost goes up, you sort of have to pass those on. and i mean i always think people misunderstand inflation because it's really just the currency depreciating and working its way out through all the different sections. if the federal government increases the money supply faster than productivity you're going to see inflation. and that's what we're seeing in food right now
most important stakeholders, followed probably by investors then suppliers, larger communities and the environment. they're all important. they all need to be taken into consideration. but i think the real secret sauce to a successful conscious business is prioritizing customers and employees. >> tom: one thing you have to deal with when talking about prioritizing customers is retail prices. food prices specifically. you deal with these every day directly. food inflation is moderated...
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Jan 16, 2013
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difficult thing going forward here, will be for these big banks, given both the equity and the bond environment and certainly the lack of big deals even though dell had an announcement a few days ago that organic growth - actually making money instead of kind of manufacturing money, so to speak - may be difficult here, given the fact that certainly goldman sachs is near a 52-week high and j.p. morgan not too far away. and the fact that they are employing a lot of leverage to hit their numbers gives me, as a trader, a lot of pause for concern here. > so what would be your trade here, or would you just stay away from the big banks for awhile? > > you know, i think we touched on it last week, given the run-up that we've had, i'm certainly fearful, and i'm buying some out-of-the-money puts on the option side here. from an investment standpoint i would absolutely wait for a pullback on any of these names given the run-up they've had here. goldman maybe about a $125 level, so looking for about a 10% pullback across the board. citigroup even a little bit more. j.p. morgan maybe a little bit less. they
difficult thing going forward here, will be for these big banks, given both the equity and the bond environment and certainly the lack of big deals even though dell had an announcement a few days ago that organic growth - actually making money instead of kind of manufacturing money, so to speak - may be difficult here, given the fact that certainly goldman sachs is near a 52-week high and j.p. morgan not too far away. and the fact that they are employing a lot of leverage to hit their numbers...
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Jan 13, 2013
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things are moving around a little bit and it makes me nervous selling a put that is only $5 lower in an environment where, you know, we talked about how low vol is and potential for the increase going forward. >> and that is an excellent point and i took a look at that, because my expectation had been that the options are on the outright basis would be priced, but implied volatility and this thing has popped on that headline, and it has steeped even as the volatility has risen and that will help the math work for you. when you trade risk reversals like here. >> and that is right, the math is working for you, but if you get the stock put to you, you have to remember why you put it on and it is because you wanted to buy the stock at a discount and if you get the stock put to you, it is a good company and you will own it at a price that is lower than now. >> and the problem with dreamliners might have been less if they used this, one thing about mike's option trade he could be forced to buy boeing with $70 a share, but with the 30 cents he collected, he would not have a loss until the stock hits $69.7
things are moving around a little bit and it makes me nervous selling a put that is only $5 lower in an environment where, you know, we talked about how low vol is and potential for the increase going forward. >> and that is an excellent point and i took a look at that, because my expectation had been that the options are on the outright basis would be priced, but implied volatility and this thing has popped on that headline, and it has steeped even as the volatility has risen and that...
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Jan 16, 2013
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i think that the financial story and economic story is saying this is not the kind of financial environment that leads to rapid growth. >> interesting. >> okay. >> you tied it in to dell and jpmorgan and everything else. excellent. larry, thank you. >> my pleasure. >> join us tomorrow. "squawk on the street" begins right now. >>> good wednesday morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee with carl quintanilla, and jim cramer and david faber at the new york stock exchange. stocks had a pretty nice day yesterday. the s&p closed at five-year highs. we are looking to the down decide this morning. the dow looking to lose about 62 at the open. the picture in europe, a couple of downgrades for gdp forecasts from both the german government and world bank. italy is down by 1.5%. road map this morning starts off with the banks and earnings. jpmorgan higher. goldman sachs at 18-month highs. >> japan airlines grounding their entire dreamliner fleet. >>> dell shares falling this morning after david faber reports that a deal could be announced within two weeks, but at a price of 13.50 or
i think that the financial story and economic story is saying this is not the kind of financial environment that leads to rapid growth. >> interesting. >> okay. >> you tied it in to dell and jpmorgan and everything else. excellent. larry, thank you. >> my pleasure. >> join us tomorrow. "squawk on the street" begins right now. >>> good wednesday morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee with carl quintanilla, and jim...
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Jan 14, 2013
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itself, when you've got growth and you've got employment opportunity, you've got income growth and environment of very low interest rate is headache to policymaker in which i think the government here continue to have to fine tunemakers every now and then essentially because after they tighten one time, they quiet down the market, but i comes back again because the liquidity flows remain strong. so whether this is the measures toned all measures remains to be seen, i think if the interest rate remains low, we may see further tightening after a period of quiet. i suppose contemplation, i think. >> stick right there. we also want to take a look at what is happening over in india. we're seeing mixed pictures on inflation. headline inflation slowed to its lowest level in three years, in fact. that was up about 7.2% from a year earlier and well shy of expectations. some say the lower than expected wpi fueled the rate cut from india. does this mean 25 basis point rate cuts and more to come? >> well, there's firm pressure from the politicians on the central bankers to do so. the growth is still rathe
itself, when you've got growth and you've got employment opportunity, you've got income growth and environment of very low interest rate is headache to policymaker in which i think the government here continue to have to fine tunemakers every now and then essentially because after they tighten one time, they quiet down the market, but i comes back again because the liquidity flows remain strong. so whether this is the measures toned all measures remains to be seen, i think if the interest rate...
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Jan 17, 2013
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what can shifts in the birds flight paths tell us about our environment? >>> support for quest is provided by the s. d. bechtel, jr. foundation -- the david b. gold foundation -- the dirk and charlene kabcenell foundation -- the vadasz family foundation -- the wyncote foundation -- the amgen foundation -- and the george g. and jeanette
what can shifts in the birds flight paths tell us about our environment? >>> support for quest is provided by the s. d. bechtel, jr. foundation -- the david b. gold foundation -- the dirk and charlene kabcenell foundation -- the vadasz family foundation -- the wyncote foundation -- the amgen foundation -- and the george g. and jeanette
SFGTV2: San Francisco Government Television
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Jan 19, 2013
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accountable are those who want to cut taxes for the rich and no fair share who want to live in the privatized environment and not care about the civic situation. that is truly damaging to the possibility of already beleaguered ideals. nothing is simple. i cover the former soviet union and russia. i could go on at great length about how boris yeltsin undermined democracy and became a hero democracy. lech walnsa in many ways was not the. working bloke many made him not to be. gorbachev was a visionary who came to power. he saw he needed to change the country. he used his powers to do that. he withdrew from afghanistan. he called for nuclear abolition. he worked with ronald reagan. he understood you need political solutions, not military solutions. when the soviet troops were ready to come out of the barracks so the berlin wall would not come down, he told them to stay in the barracks, the empire is going. we cannot be a country that will be one of glasnost and perestroika if we live the way we have. it is the 20th anniversary of the soviet union, the end of the soviet union. many people in russia blame him
accountable are those who want to cut taxes for the rich and no fair share who want to live in the privatized environment and not care about the civic situation. that is truly damaging to the possibility of already beleaguered ideals. nothing is simple. i cover the former soviet union and russia. i could go on at great length about how boris yeltsin undermined democracy and became a hero democracy. lech walnsa in many ways was not the. working bloke many made him not to be. gorbachev was a...
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Jan 18, 2013
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they have been squeezed because of a tough environment. there is a big move into tablets and smartphones and all the competition weighs on intel, this type of company. talk about analyst calls. credit suisse cut the target. piper jaffray raised their target just to name a few. but they do have outperforms and neutrals. outperform came from credit suisse. back to you. melissa: nicole, thanks so much. ashley: washington, d.c. prepping for inauguration weekend. if you want a ultimate experience and don't we all, it will cost you a king's ransom. details are ahead. melissa: playing chicken with the energy industry literally. a new fight to shut down oil and wind production to save the prairie chicken. it is a chicken fight. ♪ . melissa: so is the prairie chicken versus the wind farm. the environmental battle heating up as the fish and wildlife service contemplates adding the bird to endangered species list. if that means shutting down vital wind farms and oil and gas facilities is it worth it. i understand the main problem is that these prai
they have been squeezed because of a tough environment. there is a big move into tablets and smartphones and all the competition weighs on intel, this type of company. talk about analyst calls. credit suisse cut the target. piper jaffray raised their target just to name a few. but they do have outperforms and neutrals. outperform came from credit suisse. back to you. melissa: nicole, thanks so much. ashley: washington, d.c. prepping for inauguration weekend. if you want a ultimate experience...
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Jan 17, 2013
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a stock like citi group, we have in a low growth environment. earning $55 billion of excess capital. 45% of the market gap they can payback. the fed will restrict them in terms of the progress or how quickly they can do it but i would argue it's hard to find a large cap stock that can buy back or pay divisives of 40%, 45% of its market cap. >> kevin good to talk to you. that was for spending some time with us on halftime today. >> appreciate it. >> kevin holt. >>> biggest pops and drop. blackrock is getting a nice pop today. >> company report ad great number. 24 cents above plan. they also announce ad dividend increase better than expected and a buy back. inflows are also being seen. good story. this is the one to own. >> what's going on with lenard. >> i missed this home builder trade. screwed that one up. i'm not of the opinion either of these trade you move to the sidelines. >> netflix. >> netflix looks good too. netflix, big rumor out yesterday about big sellers in the stock. also the announcement that coin star is lunching streaming. >> we
a stock like citi group, we have in a low growth environment. earning $55 billion of excess capital. 45% of the market gap they can payback. the fed will restrict them in terms of the progress or how quickly they can do it but i would argue it's hard to find a large cap stock that can buy back or pay divisives of 40%, 45% of its market cap. >> kevin good to talk to you. that was for spending some time with us on halftime today. >> appreciate it. >> kevin holt. >>>...
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Jan 17, 2013
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even in this low environment how do you do it? what's the plan? >> you do more deposits, more loans. in fact, last year our net interest income, the difference between what we get on the loans versus what we pay on deposits, an endless margin, dropped 18 basis point but we actually grew net interest income so you do more, and we've dealt with this low rate environment before. do i think rates are too low? yes. a lot of monetary stimulus, but we're able to operate in that environment, and it's been a real bargain for borrowers. on the other hand, savers have paid a real price. >> how do you offset that knowing that it's become tougher to make money in banking? >> well, this year we grew revenues by 6% quarter over quarter from a year ago and 6% you took the whole year. almost all of it on the non-interest income side. half of our revenues come from fee for services, mortgage brokerages, other things so we don't only live on the margin, if you will, so think of a company that can produce those kind of revenue numbers with no help from the margin or
even in this low environment how do you do it? what's the plan? >> you do more deposits, more loans. in fact, last year our net interest income, the difference between what we get on the loans versus what we pay on deposits, an endless margin, dropped 18 basis point but we actually grew net interest income so you do more, and we've dealt with this low rate environment before. do i think rates are too low? yes. a lot of monetary stimulus, but we're able to operate in that environment, and...
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Jan 18, 2013
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but we had to adjust to the environment we're in right now. that's what we're dealing with. >> where would you say the net flow is now between morgan stanley brokers and merrill brokers right now? who's winning? are you -- you added more? have they -- and are you -- are you in an aggressive mode right now in terms of offering them increased compensation to come to morgan stanley, or -- >> i'm going to give you an answer which may be a little counterintuitive. the person who's winning might be the one who's actually losing on net flow. in other words, there are some very aggressive recruiting packages out there. anybody can go out and spend money -- >> in the past -- >> spend money and buy talent. do you want us just buying talent? >> i don't know. where are you now in terms of totals? >> we're over 16,500. i forget exactly. i think merrill -- you know, honestly, i don't even know. >> ubs is a big player. >> well, ubs is very different. they're a global private bank doesn't have brokers, has private bankers. the domestic business which is the o
but we had to adjust to the environment we're in right now. that's what we're dealing with. >> where would you say the net flow is now between morgan stanley brokers and merrill brokers right now? who's winning? are you -- you added more? have they -- and are you -- are you in an aggressive mode right now in terms of offering them increased compensation to come to morgan stanley, or -- >> i'm going to give you an answer which may be a little counterintuitive. the person who's...
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Jan 18, 2013
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as we reinvest, the overall low rate of environment is not unusual. we do have offsets in our loan portfolio as our national strategic non-portfolio runs down or winds off. we have an opportunity to invest in higher yield customer oriented relationships, and so we think we've got some stabilizing forces. it's hard to tell exactly how the market reacted in one given day to our net interest margin. but we feel like we've had pretty good management of it and i'm optimistic we'll maintain some stability in a tough environment in 2013. >> your fee income did come in lower than expected, though, both capital markets and mortgage banking. is that just a one-time only? are we going to see a better series of numbers in 2013? >> well, yeah, capital markets is probably the big driver of any up or down movement in our fee income. the fourth quarter was an unusual quarter in a couple of ways. one, you had the impact of hurricane sandy where the markets were closed for a couple of days. we saw average daily revenue in the business drop from about 1.2 to about $1.1
as we reinvest, the overall low rate of environment is not unusual. we do have offsets in our loan portfolio as our national strategic non-portfolio runs down or winds off. we have an opportunity to invest in higher yield customer oriented relationships, and so we think we've got some stabilizing forces. it's hard to tell exactly how the market reacted in one given day to our net interest margin. but we feel like we've had pretty good management of it and i'm optimistic we'll maintain some...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the low-ends retail environment is more competitive. they have to become more promotional, code word for more discounts. in order to hold their own, they vo have to put real pressure on margins. the higher payroll taxes on consumers, it's very hard to make the case that dollar stores can be owned here. it's true companies have big long-term growth stories, and they have to expand store base around the country. that's not a reason to buy them as long as existing stores have so much trouble. at this point, dollar stores may be too cheap to go much lower, dollar tree sells 14 times earnings, and when their historical multipliers are higher, however, there is no catalyst that can get that multiple to expand. no catalyst to drive this stock higher, and that makes buying them frankly a big no-no. you said to me, jim, give me something in the space. you want something in the space? i say go with cramer fave five below. five for you home gamers. i've been a big fan of this company since it became public in july, and -- philadelphia based and if
the low-ends retail environment is more competitive. they have to become more promotional, code word for more discounts. in order to hold their own, they vo have to put real pressure on margins. the higher payroll taxes on consumers, it's very hard to make the case that dollar stores can be owned here. it's true companies have big long-term growth stories, and they have to expand store base around the country. that's not a reason to buy them as long as existing stores have so much trouble. at...
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Jan 16, 2013
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what's your take on the economic environment right now? >> well, you know, we expect that it's going to continue to be a challenging environment, and maria, as an organization we're very focused on the things, you know, that we can control in the marketplace and that's how we market our brand, product innovation and how we execute at the restaurant level, and image activation where we're reinvesting in our restaurants at a very aggressive rate is really producing some phenomenal results. these are the things that we can do to move our brand forward, and we have a lot of confidence in it. >> so, let me ask you about the commodities cost and, of course, this is something we've been talking about throughout the earnings season. chipotle today citing higher commodities expenses and going to impact their earnings through the fourth quarter. has this been the case for wendy's? what are you seeing. >> in 2012 we saw a 90 basis point increase in commodities which is roughly 3%. as we look at 2013, we're looking for something in the area of 90 to 1
what's your take on the economic environment right now? >> well, you know, we expect that it's going to continue to be a challenging environment, and maria, as an organization we're very focused on the things, you know, that we can control in the marketplace and that's how we market our brand, product innovation and how we execute at the restaurant level, and image activation where we're reinvesting in our restaurants at a very aggressive rate is really producing some phenomenal results....
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. >> one what are the things you think you can do in this environment? by the way, i talked to bankers who say, you know what, i don't know if anyone's going to trust us. first of all i'm not sure anyone did historically trusted banks. >> agreed. >> and that it may never get that much better until, frankly, the economy gets better and the unemployment picture gets better. >> i would sake exception with never. i think there have been times in the past when the banker was your friend. you knew you could go down and get a loan if you needed to buy a house. you didn't worry about whether you could qualify. you worried about, you know, what house you wanted to buy. those are the types we need to get back. to frankly, banking's only one part of the financial services industry. this is a very broad, very wide industry. markets are driven based on people's confidence in their future, their willingness to invest in something they think has a better future than the current times. so earning that confidence. you know, financial advisers in our industry, professiona
. >> one what are the things you think you can do in this environment? by the way, i talked to bankers who say, you know what, i don't know if anyone's going to trust us. first of all i'm not sure anyone did historically trusted banks. >> agreed. >> and that it may never get that much better until, frankly, the economy gets better and the unemployment picture gets better. >> i would sake exception with never. i think there have been times in the past when the banker was...
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Jan 15, 2013
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against that backdrop, you have a pretty risky environment in the sense that pcs are going through a lot of change right now. so while the valuation of dell stock is pretty darn attractive and i understand the rationale in this low interest rate environment to want to do a deal, because the deal is so large and there's uncertainty around dell's pc core business, i think when push comes to shove, the deal does not get done. >> i want to underscore one of the top rated analysts doesn't think that it's going to happen. shares are moving a little bit higher. stocks almost 23% at this point. obviously had that huge move yesterday. where does that leave the company's future, toni? what are they going to do? >> look, i think the company has been very deliberate in laying out a strategy, which is, we're going to try and move away from pcs. we're going to take our cash and buy companies to try and make us more of an enterprise player. one of the benefits of not going private is you have more degrees of freedom. you don't have to use your cash flow to pay down debt. you can use your cash flow
against that backdrop, you have a pretty risky environment in the sense that pcs are going through a lot of change right now. so while the valuation of dell stock is pretty darn attractive and i understand the rationale in this low interest rate environment to want to do a deal, because the deal is so large and there's uncertainty around dell's pc core business, i think when push comes to shove, the deal does not get done. >> i want to underscore one of the top rated analysts doesn't...
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in this regulatory environment that's not a good place to be. james foreman's move into retail and other sector so i think that's a meaningful shift for them. >> is the regulatory environment too tight? >> in some number of areas, yes. in some others, no. so i can actually say mixed answer. in a lot of dodd-frank has to do with things that had nothing to do with the financial crisis. you may remember one of the first laws actually implemented where they wrote the language was debit fees. they capped debit fees. that had nothing to do with anything around the financial crisis. on the other hand things like the volcker rule and others, they're still working on them, and i think there should be some good regulation around capital risk taking, and such, on the trading desks. that's still to come. >> the other big banking wall street news this week is jamie diamond and jpmorgan, i don't know if you follow this, but the london whale, the board, is going to be potentially releasing an internal report on what happened. if you were on the board would you
in this regulatory environment that's not a good place to be. james foreman's move into retail and other sector so i think that's a meaningful shift for them. >> is the regulatory environment too tight? >> in some number of areas, yes. in some others, no. so i can actually say mixed answer. in a lot of dodd-frank has to do with things that had nothing to do with the financial crisis. you may remember one of the first laws actually implemented where they wrote the language was debit...
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Jan 15, 2013
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treasury, and that type of environment where dividends are going to grow 10% this year, that can be a good backdrop on stocks like ford that developed its dividend last week, lowe's on the home improvement side and dresser injuries and transindustries. >> with all due respect, jpmorgan out yesterday saying that maybe the dividend play is last year's play and maybe now is the time to get into riskier assets in equities because they feel like the economy is going to start to pick up. so you're sticking with the dividend play though? >> i am. for these two reasons. one, bill, the growth of dividends is the story. not the absolute yield. it's the growth in dividends and that can be names like qualcomm, apple, ford is my example. second. when investors look much like 1994 and 1999, when interest rates went higher, the ten-year treasury was yielding, was returning minus 3% for those two calendar years. people will come back to the stock market, but they will come back to the stock market in the safer yield and dividend-growing stories. that is why i think the catalyst for david dents will s
treasury, and that type of environment where dividends are going to grow 10% this year, that can be a good backdrop on stocks like ford that developed its dividend last week, lowe's on the home improvement side and dresser injuries and transindustries. >> with all due respect, jpmorgan out yesterday saying that maybe the dividend play is last year's play and maybe now is the time to get into riskier assets in equities because they feel like the economy is going to start to pick up. so...
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Jan 15, 2013
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the environment we live in is still conducive to be la tij jous because no one can make any money. carl, back to you. >> rick, we'll talk to you in a bit. rick santelli. >>> goldman is making waves with its bonus payouts. mary thompson has a flash. >> the company confirming that goldman has decided not to delay the bonus payments until april which would have allowed the bonuses to be taxed at a lower rate. goldman sachs' stock is slightly higher, about three-quarters of a percent. those payments originally due here in the u.s. in 2013 but the company, again, accelerated those payments into 2012 to take advantage of lower tax rates. again, the uk says -- someone close to the company saying that after some consideration, it will not be delaying bonus payments there to take advantage of lower rates. back to you. >> yeah, not the only bank where compensation is in the news. thank you, mary. >>> a few minutes left in europe's trading days. simon hobbs in less than 60 seconds. and i jumped right on it. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 tdd# 1-800-345-2550 since i've switched to charles schwab... tdd#
the environment we live in is still conducive to be la tij jous because no one can make any money. carl, back to you. >> rick, we'll talk to you in a bit. rick santelli. >>> goldman is making waves with its bonus payouts. mary thompson has a flash. >> the company confirming that goldman has decided not to delay the bonus payments until april which would have allowed the bonuses to be taxed at a lower rate. goldman sachs' stock is slightly higher, about three-quarters of a...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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how do we make money in this environment? we know where we are, see what the reality is, may not be what you want but the fed is there, providing easy market and that's why this market wants to go nowhere but up except in equities. how do you make money in this market? >> the fed is pushing you into risk assets so that's where you go. you have to keep going while the band is playing, but this is what concerns me is at what point do we get the snap-back? we already started off 2012 with a record amount of money going into high yield. how would you like to buy c-paper and get 5.5% return on it as far as yield goes? >> i would hate to be a portfolio manager in this kind of environment because i don't know how you balance a portfolio in terms of risk. >> i would love to be one, and i think part of it is if you -- you can make money dmest click because stocks are still relatively valued or undervalued based on, you know, the fed's model and other models, a lot of opportunities to pick up stocks that were hit hard during the summer
how do we make money in this environment? we know where we are, see what the reality is, may not be what you want but the fed is there, providing easy market and that's why this market wants to go nowhere but up except in equities. how do you make money in this market? >> the fed is pushing you into risk assets so that's where you go. you have to keep going while the band is playing, but this is what concerns me is at what point do we get the snap-back? we already started off 2012 with a...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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CNBC
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the main thing is capital will flee a hostile environment. if i were a risk taking entrepreneur in california i would be thinking about heading east to texas. >> i feel a bit dumb because i had no idea of the export power of texas. i probably would have picked california. we'll show a table and what this table says is texas 2011 exports, $251 billion in second place california at $159 billion. that is very impressive. hears what i like the most. go to the next table. it is easy. when i first heard it i said it's obvious because california doesn't maximize natural resources because of the green component. has such a large lobby and presence in california. even if you extract all the exports petroleum and coal products that still leaves you around 200 billion. you're still blowing the competition away. >> yep. isn't that nice? we also have great trading partners in mexico and canada and we send a lot of parts to the factories which are tremendous engine of growth for mexico. so our number one trading partner is mexico followed by canada and the
the main thing is capital will flee a hostile environment. if i were a risk taking entrepreneur in california i would be thinking about heading east to texas. >> i feel a bit dumb because i had no idea of the export power of texas. i probably would have picked california. we'll show a table and what this table says is texas 2011 exports, $251 billion in second place california at $159 billion. that is very impressive. hears what i like the most. go to the next table. it is easy. when i...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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dimon asked the feds for smaller buy back to go forward to play it safe in a regulatory environment. sue, back to you. >> thank you very much. matt, covering goldman sachs and j.p. morgan for wells fargo. matt, first of all, let's go to j.p. morgan. how do you rate the stock and do today's rates change the way you feel about the stock? >> thanks, sue. we have an outperform rating on j.p. morgan today and we've had it for some time. we think today's results actually were, once you read through a number of the one-time items, relatively strong. we see a core return on tangible common equity in mid teens. and we think that the strong mortgage performance of the company as well as the relatively strong performance out of investment bank, good revenue performance, and as your previous reporter mentioned, preconference as well and that leads it a solid performance. relative to the peer group for the next six to 12 months. >> so matt, give mae choice between goldman sachs and j.p. morgan. i know they have fundamental differences between them, but if you have to buy one stock today, would it
dimon asked the feds for smaller buy back to go forward to play it safe in a regulatory environment. sue, back to you. >> thank you very much. matt, covering goldman sachs and j.p. morgan for wells fargo. matt, first of all, let's go to j.p. morgan. how do you rate the stock and do today's rates change the way you feel about the stock? >> thanks, sue. we have an outperform rating on j.p. morgan today and we've had it for some time. we think today's results actually were, once you...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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FBC
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because the interest rate environment is very tough for them. you want to be cautious going into earnings. sandra: i told everybody you would be naming names. stock your portfolios with what you suggest here. you're calling for three of the 11 regional names to beat expectations. which three? >> well that would be mtb u.s. bank and fifth third and we think they are all in a position because of their mix of earnings, a lot of fee income because of merger in the case of mtb. those are ones where you could see them buck this trend of overall pressure on earnings. we think those are the places to be and they're high quality names. sandra: i want to tell everybody, m & t reporting this week on wednesday, fifth third is reporting on thursday. those are where you're calling for beats. six of them you are predicting of regional banks will miss expectations which six? >> we have a number of them. in fact it will be more than six. it will be across the board. we look at a keycorp and pnc, some of the other names where the net interest margin pressure beca
because the interest rate environment is very tough for them. you want to be cautious going into earnings. sandra: i told everybody you would be naming names. stock your portfolios with what you suggest here. you're calling for three of the 11 regional names to beat expectations. which three? >> well that would be mtb u.s. bank and fifth third and we think they are all in a position because of their mix of earnings, a lot of fee income because of merger in the case of mtb. those are ones...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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cost structure, looking at technology, looking at taking out costs and everything because that is the environment when the i.t. budgets are much flatter. so from that point, we were looking quite good so far as we get into the next year. >> and last question, what do you think this company will look like in calm of years time? it's been through so many transformations, changing business over the years. is this going to be a company that is still heavily focused on i.t. services as you divest some of the other parts of the business? what do you think this will actually look like in, say, 2015? >> clearly, you've been clearly focused on i.t. services, we had the demerger announcement last quarter and we are progressing very well. so as we exhibit this for the calendar or near or on that, we should be able to be done in terms of activity. which means if we're limited now, it will contain only the products and services in the geography. services are globally. it will focus more and more in terms of momentum as we identify with the life sciences, energy, natural resources, liquidities all in terms of
cost structure, looking at technology, looking at taking out costs and everything because that is the environment when the i.t. budgets are much flatter. so from that point, we were looking quite good so far as we get into the next year. >> and last question, what do you think this company will look like in calm of years time? it's been through so many transformations, changing business over the years. is this going to be a company that is still heavily focused on i.t. services as you...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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it's not an environment so different that all of these things are going to happen. and an assault weapons ban is sill a heavy lift. remember, the assault weapons ban we had had a lot of loopholes in it. but the other elements, it's just a different world. and i think national rifle association is no longer supreme in the same way and many of their own members i think are going to start to feel differently. when you get a joe manchin of west virginia coming out and saying "i hunt, i don't need more than three bullets in a magazine" and you get other long-standing strong proponents of the second amendment saying it's time for some changes, we're moving into a different world. >> brown: david kopel, do you think the politics have changed here or do you expect -- well, there certainly will be challenges legislatively. will there also be challenges legally? >> there will certainly be legal challenges because one important thing -- the way things have changechanged is we now have the supreme court having affirmed that the second amendment is an individual right and the co
it's not an environment so different that all of these things are going to happen. and an assault weapons ban is sill a heavy lift. remember, the assault weapons ban we had had a lot of loopholes in it. but the other elements, it's just a different world. and i think national rifle association is no longer supreme in the same way and many of their own members i think are going to start to feel differently. when you get a joe manchin of west virginia coming out and saying "i hunt, i don't...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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and you'll see lyric can also give you exceptionally clear, natul sound in quiet and noisy environments because of how it works with your ear's own anatomy. (testimonial section) (testimonial section) (testimonial section) (testimonial section) (testimonial section) did you know, 94% of people who use lyric would recommend lyric to a friend or loved one. can your hearing aid do all this? lyric can. to learn more about lyric's advanced technology, call or visit trylyric.com for a risk--free 30--day trial offer. you'll also get a free informational dvd and brochure. why wait? hear today what a little lyric can do for you. get the hearing aid that can. lyric from phonak. lyric can. charles: if you think your student loans are bad, china will now drop 250 billion dollars a year to send kids, millions of them, to universities. the goal is to have 195 million chinese college grads by the year 2020. but with the slowing economy, it seems they are going to have a whole lot of kids on their hands with big expectations and little opportunity. sounds familiar. let's get back to the markets. it's b
and you'll see lyric can also give you exceptionally clear, natul sound in quiet and noisy environments because of how it works with your ear's own anatomy. (testimonial section) (testimonial section) (testimonial section) (testimonial section) (testimonial section) did you know, 94% of people who use lyric would recommend lyric to a friend or loved one. can your hearing aid do all this? lyric can. to learn more about lyric's advanced technology, call or visit trylyric.com for a risk--free...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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continuing to raise margins even in a challenging rate environment. ceo president harry turner coming up next in a fox business exclusive. "countdown to the closing bell" is next rea. [ male announcer ] where do you turn for legal matters? at legalzoom, we've created a better place to handle your legal needs. maybe you have questions about incorporating a business you'd like to start. or questions about protecting your family with a will or living trust. and you'd like to find the right attorney to help guide you along, answer any questions and offer advice. with an "a" rating from the better business bureau legalzoom helps you get personalized and affordable legal protection. in most states, a legal plan attorney is available with every personalized document to answer any questions. get started at legalzoom.com today. and now you're protected. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] you don't have to be a golf pro to walk like one. ♪ when you walk 10,000 steps a day, it's the same as walking a professional golf course. humana. health and well-being partner of t
continuing to raise margins even in a challenging rate environment. ceo president harry turner coming up next in a fox business exclusive. "countdown to the closing bell" is next rea. [ male announcer ] where do you turn for legal matters? at legalzoom, we've created a better place to handle your legal needs. maybe you have questions about incorporating a business you'd like to start. or questions about protecting your family with a will or living trust. and you'd like to find the...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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i actually feel the environment is still tough, maybe getting more friendlives can i ask you about the rally we've had generally? it's notable that goldman sachs has outperformed both the ac and citi with an 18% rise in the stock over the last month. today, of course, you downgraded goldman sachs in the light of that move. where are you on the sort of share price movement that is we might see in those three and oats moves forward? >> to see additional up side in a broker dealing, you have to see the economy get better. that could happen. i'm hoping it will happened. i'm just not sure if this is the time to put new money into goldman sachs, if we're sure not sure that will play its way out. it's just a matter of, how long does it take for the uncertainty to get out of the way, so companies can get back to making acquisitions. >> jeff, do people give you a hard time when you cut the ratings and yet boost the price targets? that gets made fun of a lot. >> yeah, we do get some for it. the price target increase, it's very form layically driven. what our pick it into our what it's done over
i actually feel the environment is still tough, maybe getting more friendlives can i ask you about the rally we've had generally? it's notable that goldman sachs has outperformed both the ac and citi with an 18% rise in the stock over the last month. today, of course, you downgraded goldman sachs in the light of that move. where are you on the sort of share price movement that is we might see in those three and oats moves forward? >> to see additional up side in a broker dealing, you have...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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the question people ask is, can we see anything from the fourth quarter that will tell us what the environment in 2013 is like. i guess my answer to that would still be no. fiscal cliff issues, europe, the election, tropical storms, et cetera, and there's still no real clarity on what the business models, investment banking are going to look like as we head toward three. it's going to be much better numbers than a year ago. numbers are going to be slightly down versus the third quarter. and -- to my mind, there's still really nothing we'll be able to take away from the numbers in terms of -- >> which is frustrating because we're at a time when we are trying to re-evaluate what the model is going to be, what earnings will look like going forward. in your view, what is -- what is the investment case for these investment banks today? >> well, the investment case for an investment bank is that when they work very well, they are extremely capital -- if i advise a company and get a fee for ecm or m&a deal, it requires no capital, and i get a lot of money. that's very attractive. the second thing is
the question people ask is, can we see anything from the fourth quarter that will tell us what the environment in 2013 is like. i guess my answer to that would still be no. fiscal cliff issues, europe, the election, tropical storms, et cetera, and there's still no real clarity on what the business models, investment banking are going to look like as we head toward three. it's going to be much better numbers than a year ago. numbers are going to be slightly down versus the third quarter. and --...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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CNBC
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this is a very good credit environment. but that is a huge amount of financing for an lbo. in fact we haven't seen something like that since the financial crisis, and you're not buying into a great road story here. you're not buying into energy. you're buying into dell. basically the banks would be asked to do a bet on the personal computer market. >> dan, the second piece of this, as i think about it, though, is this idea that you're actually going back to the club deal, right? you're having two firms club up, and now with something that was, almost, i thought it was now a relic of the 2007, '06, '05 and people were no longer going to do that, at best, they were going to partner potentially with their own limited partners like the pension funds but not necessarily together to fund themselves. >> yeah, and it's particularly interesting that tpg is involved in this. one of the biggest private equity firms in the world but they might have some troubles fund-raising next time out. their performance hasn't been good the last two funds. one of the things they've been telling the
this is a very good credit environment. but that is a huge amount of financing for an lbo. in fact we haven't seen something like that since the financial crisis, and you're not buying into a great road story here. you're not buying into energy. you're buying into dell. basically the banks would be asked to do a bet on the personal computer market. >> dan, the second piece of this, as i think about it, though, is this idea that you're actually going back to the club deal, right? you're...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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FBC
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[ laughter ] which is great if there is an inflationary environment? >> if one can buy money at a fixed rate, i would certainly urge them to. in my view, interest rates will certainly be going higher over the next decade or two. these interest rates are absurd and will not last. why would i buy land? because agriculture will be one of the most exciting parts of the economy for the next 20 or 30 years. you should learn how to drive a tractor. dagen: i know how to drive a tractor. i probably learned before you did. talk to me about the treasury rates, real quick. when will this come home for us as a nation because, again, congress and our lawmakers are getting a free pass and not doing anything about our long-term financial situation because we can still borrow at such low rates? >> it is because the federal reserve is in their buying bonds. this is an artificial development right now. something that is artificial, it comes home to haunt them eventually. the problem, i am sure -- the problem, dagen, there may be more turmoil coming in the currency market
[ laughter ] which is great if there is an inflationary environment? >> if one can buy money at a fixed rate, i would certainly urge them to. in my view, interest rates will certainly be going higher over the next decade or two. these interest rates are absurd and will not last. why would i buy land? because agriculture will be one of the most exciting parts of the economy for the next 20 or 30 years. you should learn how to drive a tractor. dagen: i know how to drive a tractor. i...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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CNBC
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>> in this environment, we're actually asking our clients to think about three things. first we're going to have low interest rates for awhile. so they need to adjust their expected returns. so in a low interest rate environment we're going to have lower returns across all asset classes. second, we're telling our clients that as they think about the lower returns in the context of their portfolios, they also need to recognize that we are going to have volatility from incremental policy on a global basis. whether it's in the u.s., europe, japan or emerging market countries. we are expecting that policy, whether it's monetary policy adjustments, fiscal policy, it will all be incremental. and that will create market pressure because it won't be at a pace that the markets would like to see. so that will introduce volatility. and it's not something our clients should try to trace. they should look over the horizon and invest for the long run. >> looking at the long run, three to five-year term outlook if you look at those expected returns, what's interesting to me is that yo
>> in this environment, we're actually asking our clients to think about three things. first we're going to have low interest rates for awhile. so they need to adjust their expected returns. so in a low interest rate environment we're going to have lower returns across all asset classes. second, we're telling our clients that as they think about the lower returns in the context of their portfolios, they also need to recognize that we are going to have volatility from incremental policy on...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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CNNW
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as communities and certainly in the schools as well i think we can have a much safer community and environment for our kids than we have now. >> marc klaas joining us this morning. marc the father of polly klaas and the founder of the klaas kids foundation. thanks for talking to us. we appreciate your time this morning. >> thank you so much. >> many people pointed out that it appears in the video the little girl goes so easily with her mother, her mother wears a burqa and so maybe she didn't know it was her mother. kids that age will go with an adult. their whole lives are -- their lives -- >> right. >> i picked one of my friend's kids from tae kwon do, and they didn't ask where is mom and dad, where are we going, it's one of the things you have to be so careful that what kind of adults are around and i was amazed that an adult can stroll into a school and out with a child like this. >> children don't ask, okay, because their whole lives are built around, you go to that now, you do this now, i think it's really a terrifying thing that the people didn't say to you, i don't care if he says he kn
as communities and certainly in the schools as well i think we can have a much safer community and environment for our kids than we have now. >> marc klaas joining us this morning. marc the father of polly klaas and the founder of the klaas kids foundation. thanks for talking to us. we appreciate your time this morning. >> thank you so much. >> many people pointed out that it appears in the video the little girl goes so easily with her mother, her mother wears a burqa and so...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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the environment where these pythons now live is not used to them. these creatures have evolved from places like the rainforest in southeast asia or the african savannah, and the habitat or the grassland habitat that you find in the everglades just simply is not equipped to deal with these very new and very invasive species. basically these pythons are invaders, and they are eating everything they come in contact with. >> you say these very new, are these pythons that were people's pets? >> likely that's how all of this originated. pot past 30 years people have been importing these snakes. a lot less lately. but during the 1970s and 1980s thousands and thousands of these snakes were brought in from asia and africa, and more often than not they either escaped because of hurricanes or people released them into environments where they shouldn't have, and these animals took over. they started out as pets, and then through negligence were released and, unfortunately, this ecosystem just really is not prepared to take on what these snakes do to the environ
the environment where these pythons now live is not used to them. these creatures have evolved from places like the rainforest in southeast asia or the african savannah, and the habitat or the grassland habitat that you find in the everglades just simply is not equipped to deal with these very new and very invasive species. basically these pythons are invaders, and they are eating everything they come in contact with. >> you say these very new, are these pythons that were people's pets?...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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researchers artificially changed the environment to monitor the impact on the crustaceans. they're trying to find out if the thinning of the ice could affect krill numbers. bigger animals at the south pole provide even more data. scientists in the university of tasmania have attached small devices on elephant seals to record their movements and the temperature of the sea where they swim. they're aiming to determine how changes in the ice volume and water temperature affect behavior. >> the elephant seal numbers have been declining over the last 20 or 30 years, and it's almost certainly due to some change in the marine environment. we can make predictions about how the animals are going to respond as the climate changes into the future. >> reporter: australian officials and experts say their effort isn't just academic but realistic and practical too. >> certainly climate change is a really big concern to us. concerned about antarctica because of the impact it has and the practical consequences. it affects the ocean around it and therefore the fisheries upon which we rely. >>
researchers artificially changed the environment to monitor the impact on the crustaceans. they're trying to find out if the thinning of the ice could affect krill numbers. bigger animals at the south pole provide even more data. scientists in the university of tasmania have attached small devices on elephant seals to record their movements and the temperature of the sea where they swim. they're aiming to determine how changes in the ice volume and water temperature affect behavior. >>...
SFGTV2: San Francisco Government Television
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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SFGTV2
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the environment is huge. it is stronger than willpower. surrounding yourself with artists, being in a culture where artists are driving, and where a huge amount of them is a healthy environment. >> you are making it safer. push, push. that is better. when i start thinking, i see it actually -- sometimes, i do not see it, but when i do, it is usually from the inside out. it is like watching something being spawned. you go in, and you begin to work, excavate, play with the dancers, and then things began to emerge. you may have a plan that this is what i want to create. here are the ideas i want to play with, but then, you go into the room, and there maybe some fertile ideas that are becoming manifest that are more interesting than the idea you had initially set out to plan. so there has to be this openness for spontaneity. also, a sense that regardless of the deadline, that you have tons of time so the you can keep your creativity alive and not cut it off and just go into old habits. it is a lot like listening. really listening to watch what
the environment is huge. it is stronger than willpower. surrounding yourself with artists, being in a culture where artists are driving, and where a huge amount of them is a healthy environment. >> you are making it safer. push, push. that is better. when i start thinking, i see it actually -- sometimes, i do not see it, but when i do, it is usually from the inside out. it is like watching something being spawned. you go in, and you begin to work, excavate, play with the dancers, and then...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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KRCB
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and it's almost certainly due to some change in the marine environment. we can make predictions about how the animals are going to respond as the climate changes into the future. >> reporter: australian officials and experts say their effort isn't just academic but realistic and practical too. >> certainly climate change is a really big concern to us. concerned about antarctica because of the impact it has and the practical consequences. it affects the ocean around it and therefore the fisheries upon which we rely. >> reporter: some of these studies have been going on for a few years. some only a month. those involved hope the project will provide important information to help in the fight against global climate change. take nakajima, nhk world, hobart, tasmania. >>> time now to get a check on the weather. people on the streets in tokyo are watching their step as they get around today. meteorologist sayaka morery explains. >> hi there. on monday we saw very heavy snow in tokyo. because we are not used to heavy snow, people are having trouble walking on ic
and it's almost certainly due to some change in the marine environment. we can make predictions about how the animals are going to respond as the climate changes into the future. >> reporter: australian officials and experts say their effort isn't just academic but realistic and practical too. >> certainly climate change is a really big concern to us. concerned about antarctica because of the impact it has and the practical consequences. it affects the ocean around it and therefore...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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it's about the broader environment that we're creating for ourselves and for our families. and this underlying culture of violence that leads to the kinds of tragedies that took place in newtown but also in columbine and aurora, and we can go through the list. we've almost become numb to the ticker telling us that some other community is confronting this kind of tragedy. and i think we have a responsibility as individuals and as citizens to push back on this. if this isn't the kind of culture we want, then we're going to have to say to companies, to our policymakers, this isn't -- you're going to have to stop. >> joe, i'm talking about playing nice, but i don't think that's going to work. >> and you know, the thing is, we have been focusing, of course, some on the gun lobby. >> right. >> but right after newtown, we were also talking about the responsibility of hollywood. >> right. >> and you want to talk about an industry that is completely blind to the -- you know, to their responsibility, bringing violence to culture, who was one of the most celebrated men sunday night at
it's about the broader environment that we're creating for ourselves and for our families. and this underlying culture of violence that leads to the kinds of tragedies that took place in newtown but also in columbine and aurora, and we can go through the list. we've almost become numb to the ticker telling us that some other community is confronting this kind of tragedy. and i think we have a responsibility as individuals and as citizens to push back on this. if this isn't the kind of culture...